fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". Whereas Tester . They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. . The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Happy holidays! 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. In the main event, former light The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. Galen speaks with him. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. This is the final episode. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp June 2, 2016. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. No products in the cart. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. david senak now. Edit your transcribed text. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. I'm Galen Truk. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. All rights reserved. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. 3 min read. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. So, the usual. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. RSS Loading. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. Instagram did not return a 200. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. 11:03 AM. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. police- settlements. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. It's a busy week! Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. Preview of Spotify. r/fivethirtyeight. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre