The linked article at fangraphs talks about the increased likelihood of TJ surgery as pitch velocity increases, using two reference points for velo, the general takeaway is that 1 in 3 pitchers throwing 96+ mph will need Tommy John surgery between 23 and 25 years old. Spencer Strider only appeared in one game for the Braves last season and was not very well-known around the league. Spencer Strider is on Instagram at spencerstrider. So by that logic, if you are making $500K/year, you would buy a Snickers bar for $10 because you have lots of money? The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball, Salaries may not be complete (especially pre-1985) and may not include some earned bonuses. Yesterday the Atlanta Journal- Constitution published an interview with Braves chairman Terry McGuirk in which he describes how the Braves financial success, since the new stadium, has allowed them to keep increasing their payroll and he projects that this will continue in 2023 and beyond: https://www.ajc.com/sports/atlanta-braves/how-the-braves-built-a-well-oiled-machine-that-could-be-here-to-stay/AMCXFCKNK5FATJ3WHTFDWRQCPY/. Strider already had TJS while he was still at Clemson. Being represented by Frontline he got himself a nice contract plus doesnt have to worry about fleas & ticks, Repd by Frontline and now hes got Bravecto. Harris, Strider, Riley, Ronald Acua Jr. and Olson are all signed through at least the 2028 season. Most of his miscalculations are trigger happy overreactions to common slumps and overvaluing prime players, because he doesnt realize the extra value hes trying to quantify is the consistency they bring in being a star player. Who caes about Story and Baez past anyway? Definitely one of the best pitchers in the game but when it truly matters he crumbled. To see the rest of the Spencer Strider's contract breakdowns, & gain access to all of Spotrac's Premium tools, sign up today. This information might be about you, your preferences or your device and is mostly used to make the site work as you expect it to. Over the next 6 years youd probably end up paying him $40m anyway, making the cost of your gamble roughly $40m, since presumably youre paying the buy out in 2029. Love numbers, very structured, feel a level of entitlement with your degree, but your education built knowledge in a subsection of society that doesnt resonate with people outside your industry, so you come off like a pompous no-it-all, but really you have no true foundational advanced level education to help you structure arguments or support your statements! In any case, thats not one of the issues with this contract. His 182Ks this year feels more Stantonian than it should for a mid-range power hitter like Swanson. Morning after getting knocked out plus Striders dig at them a few months ago about not being as good as their record and stats showed meltdown city. early opt out year, incentives based on GG, SS, ASG, MVP votes. Getting to 94 is almost 7 mph slower than his typical top fastball. Isnt that the first requirement necessary to qualify for the extra service time youre referencing above? Imagine if they wouldve locked up Soroka. Absolutely bham. Strider, 24 later this month, will earn $1MM both in 2023 and 2024. The league never would agree to that. And because they extended him it wont matter even if they DO send him down. Braves righty Spencer Strider has been put on the 15-day injured list with a strained oblique muscle. In terms of his personal life, he is in a relationship with Maggie, a young and lovely girl. The Dodgers play on the west coast and you want them to play earlier then the Braves? The deal includes a $22M club option, with a $5M buyout." - @ MLB Transaction Tracker. 2027: $20-22M. Gotta love it. Most annoying 3-2 hitter Ive watched all season. The Braves paid him $75M. Deferred payments and incentive clauses are not included. Marlins will never have the fanbase to be elite. They couldve done that with a 6 year deal for $45M with a $25M option. People dont seem to understand just how good Striders peripherals are. Worst case for Strider is close to what happened with Charlie Morton this year, and guess what? 1st year $7.225 mm They will have their hands full if they get past the Phillies in the NLDS. I think that $40M is more like $45M, So they paid him a bonus of $25M in order to obtain a 1+1 extension for $22M + $22M, with a $5M buyout. And Gerrit Cole with the Angels. The risks are present, but the reward is fantastic, not to mention that it gives you the inside track in a few years to talk a further extension. Win win for both sides. Estimate 2023 Retained Salaries Leftover salaries from players who have been traded or released, or buyouts for declined options. Even if you assume he will get less than Soto for whatever reason, then $7+mm, $14+mm, $22+mm, and $30+mm is extremely reasonable. Its not close. Thank god, the contract was signed today based on his performance this year. Mets 6986: Three days at seasons end and 2.1 innings pitched by Strider in 2021. For a full look at the Braves' 2022 postseason schedule, click here. Also Read, Tom Stenberg, Cyrus Michael Christopher Dancy, and Morgane Stapleton. Agreed, but they hadnt locked up any pitching long-term. Find out more. Get over it already, your team choked, you should be used to Choketober and Choketember by now. They lost Acuna and won a WS. What the hell is unexpected reply from the server mean? Thats pretty much the point: Those arbitration payouts are only worth it at about a 95%+ projection of his future value, whereas they should be paying close to the 50% projection if even that much. " . Browse our online application for MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, EPL, or MLS player contracts, salaries, transactions, and more. He was on the major league roster all season. I hope we dont give Swanson more than 3 years, even if the AAV has to be high. Spencer Strider signed a 6 year / $75,000,000 contract with the Atlanta Braves, including $75,000,000 guaranteed, and an annual average salary of $12,500,000. His market will drive up the price being one of the only 2nd tier options (behind pricier Boegarts, Trea Turner; Correa shouldnt opt out). Rookie starter Spencer Strider set a Braves record with 16 strikeouts in eight dominant innings during a 3-0 win over the Rockies on Thursday night. Meanwhile Cohen will spend even more and have a $400 mil opening day payroll lol. I also would like to see how Strider does next year before extending him. Pads Fan. He will fall off before he ever gets those record numbers. Its a shame he doesnt pitch for the Mets. He may spend the season in AAA trying to learn how to play defense. They already have the best cost control in baseball. The alternative is not extending anyone and going to find TOR (top of rotation) pitching on the free agent market where the failure rate is MUCH higher partially because the age is so much higher, along with the rate of pay. He was drafted in the 35th round of the 2017 MLB Draft by the Cleveland Indians, however, he did not sign a contract with them. He has not stated how much he was paid by the teams while getting picked by the MLB. As a Mets fan, I love what the Braves are doing and their fans should be excited. ET, many of these same folks were discussing an extension that could keep the rookie sensation in Atlanta until at least the 2028 season. So saying a player pays 30% federal tax. 4th year $30+ MM That means he will have 2.003 so he will qualify for Super Two. Swanson 11.2 WAR. They wont because the union wont allow it to only benefit a segment of the members. Injuries are 75% covered by insurance So they can hamstring their salary cap ceiling by an additional $14M each of the next two years? If thats the case, how do you justify to Max Fried that hes only making $22.5M through his first 5 years in the league? Strider has coerced whiffs on more than 37 percent of the swings taken against his fastball in the upper-third of the zone this season. They paid $75 million for $102 million worth of his services based on your numbers. Second, thats only the top end scale. Another pitiful troll comment from books. This might be the worst extension overpay I have ever seen. Site occasionally posts comments multiple times. Spencer Strider is still a rookie for the Atlanta Braves, but he has the potential to advance to the major leagues. Adding that extra year of service time will make him eligible. Meanwhile, those games arent even broadcast on local cable, since you again just have to watch on Apple TV instead. Jealousys an ugly emotion. Braves fans awoke on Monday looking forward to learning more about Striders health and potential availability during the NLDS. A Super Two is in the top 22 percent (in terms of service time not performance) of all players in their service class during the offseason that they have at least 2 but less than 3 years of service time. Braves lock up Spencer Strider with a $75 million, 6-year contract - The Boston Globe A decision will be made Tuesday morning as to Spencer Strider's availability for the NL Division Series.. @Lanidrac Its very unlikely to hurt the Braves badly, since short of catastrophic injury (for which theyll probably have insurance) theyd be keeping him around anyway, shepherding him through TJ should that happen, paying arb awards, collecting insurance. Strider has been excellent in his first full season with Atlanta, going 11-5 with a 2.67 ERA and 202 strikeouts in 31 appearances (20 starts). Click For Complete Top Prospect List for 2023 1. So $74.75 million for the pre-arb and 4 arb years + $72 million for the FA years = $146.75 million. . Also just stick to one account Pads Fans. Have a better case that shows why you would gamble paying $53M for three arb years to save $8M in free agency? Anyone who can sign up to a website and verify a second factor of authorization can do it. If they are playing in New York, they ask the team to pay their apartment rent or to finance the home they live in, they get extra money to offset the taxes. Some high school data is courtesy David McWater. Name those Braves fans who felt that way. Because he is going to be in top 2 of ROY voting which gives him an extra year of service time. Fried wasnt this good out of the gate. Injuries and regression could always push any of these extensions from bargain to burden particularly in the later stages of the deals, when the salaries are come with more heft. If thats the case, then the Braves just got Spencers first 5 seasons for, check this, 15 million. Injuries are 75% covered by insurance Neither had a season as good as Strider to that point in their careers. Their window didnt change with this signing. You are also assuming he doesnt fall off a cliff statistically like Trevor Rogers this year where he went from a 2.64 ERA to 5.47 ERA or for the analytical types he went from a 2.55 FIP (2021) to 4.36 FIP (2022). Atlanta Braves rookie pitcher Spencer Strider had himself a day against the Reds on Saturday - he struck out 11 hitters in just six innings of work and got the win to improve to 4-2 on the. Now the baseball world is looking forward to what he could do while serving as a starter over an entire season. With that being said, I agree with Atlantas approach here overall but there is still a fair amount of risk involved when extending young players so early in their careers. I guess thats why you make comments without referencing who you are talking about or what makes you an expert. Julio Rodriguez is still going to get a bonus pool increase in his annual pay for his All-Star game appearance, his HR derby appearance, his ROY award, and any other accolade he gets, regardless of his contract. There are way too many moving pieces to just guarantee blowing past the luxury tax. $43m for nothing. Beginning in '26, his salary will rise to $20 million, and it will rise to $22 million for the next two seasons. The inability to stream in market is a significant issue. The game will be on WBAL/98 Rock with Geoff Arnold and Ben McDonald. On the one hand, while contracts like this Strider extension are cause to celebrate in the long-term, they do also create some shorter-term considerations. Super Two only applies when they have at least approximately 2/3 of a year of service time but less than a full season to where the team gets almost seven years of control (like the infamous Kris Bryant example) instead of slightly over six as in Striders case. Also, by disabling these cookies you will also disable banner ads served by Google Adsense on this website.. For more information about these items, view our complete privacy policy.Read More. And Patrick Corbin with the Yankees. His FA years would go up from than final season of arbitration eligibility. I dont really comprehend the LOL. Braves will be WS contenders for the next 5 years at least with this core. Salary, Earnings, Spencer Strider- Birth, Age, Ethnicity, Siblings, Education, Spencer Strider- Relationship, Girlfriend, Physical Gamerz- Wiki, Net Worth, Girlfriend, Career. Rather pay him instead of 330 or whatever to Cole. This was risky to me as well. What about Georgias racist voting rights? Love the hugely inaccurate arb numbers by posters on here. He wouldnt get anywhere near the same amount of extra money in bonuses, and thats assuming he remains good enough to get additional bonuses after this year. All four teams will provide unique challenges for the Braves. I agree, Dorothy. The only thing accurate is the potentially, saved, and money. They average the length of the deal. Baez/Story trending down, Swanson up. So he was arb eligible for the first time during the same offseason that he would have been eligible if the Cubs never manipulated his service time. Apply it to all of the offensive players theyve done the same with. The remaining $20-25M will be shared with the rest of the guys who arent arb. Look at post-season history over the last twenty or thirty years, and youll see the Braves usually getting the day games. 2023 Pre Arb year $1 million (yes, MLB minimum is $700k) Yes a 2.67 ERA is better then a 2.27 ERA. He is Strider. Hes been healthy for 3 straight years. Agree on braves. Since 2019, Spencer Strider had 202 strikeouts last season and 202 strikeouts over his career. I have even heard that the team holds onto properties in the New York area to rent to players to keep it affordable for them to live near the park. Cant do it? . =========================== Judge is a high strikeout guy whose average is buoyed by his homerun total. Thats $47M making his free agent year more like $28M with a $22M option. He might not be worth what hes asking. That will fall far short of the top 22 percent. AAs notoriously quiet when negotiating. He will receive an extra year of service time for that. Hard throwing pitchers get seriously injured a lot. They could or locked judge up years ago now they are going to pay for it or not pay for it and lose their star. Hopefully Strider has a great career and its not an issue, but if it goes poorly thats not going to be a fun contract to have on the books in 2026-2028. But this deal also looks ok for the Atlanta ball club even if you factor a 20 percent likelihood of a derailing injury midway through the deal. This is smart timing, no surprise from AA. J.R. Ritchie, RHP 3. Be the first one to comment on this story. That earned him a six-year extension worth $75 million. Your proof of value starts with if. Some thoughtful Dodgers guys on here too. This is their first long-term contract extension with a young pitcher. Its not if Strider has TJ surgery, but when he will have it. Detroit couldnt trade him for an old jock now. Thats fair. If Strider happens to need TJS along the way then this deal would end up being upside down for Atlanta. Theyre both at hpme.. And Strider got lit up, choking in the only important game hes ever pitched in. Wow. In 2020, he returned to the field and began playing as a weekend starter. "EXTENDED @Braves have signed RHP Spencer Strider to a six year contract extension worth $75M. Waves of injuries can derail any team at any time, but health-permitting, the Braves are going to be good for a long, long time. Was hoping this thread would continue without trolls insulting one another instead of adding actual substance to their argument. Swanson put up a 95 OPS+ and a 14.5 bWAR in his 7 seasons in the majors. Ill I know is Harvey dominated in playoffs and Strider just got lit up. "My goal is always to outperform any expectations," Strider said. They are the agents that rep him. SALARY Bo Bichette, SS, TOR. Id assume the player has a good argument for the latter. Be disappointed if you are going to be anything Braves fans because soon youll see when he falls short of expectations, which is anything short of him becoming Pedro Martinez and hes no Pedro! Hes shown his ceiling to be so high that Im sure they wanted to lock it in place before hes outpriced himself, with another solid season. On the other hand, a subscription to Apple TV+ is remarkably cheap, comparatively: $4.99 a month or $49.99 a year. Spencer Strider's net worth is $76,667,934. @Pads Fans Interesting point. All images are property the copyright holder and are displayed here for informational purposes only. Finally, I know people point to the 10 1/2 game lead the Mets had and call it a collapse. Some defensive statistics Copyright Sports Info Solutions, 2010-2023. He will finish 2023 with 2 years and 3 days of service time not even close to the top 22% of players in his class. Have the Braves not noticed how many of their young pitchers have fallen apart after 2-3 years over the last two decades? Ok I quickly read up on the bonus pool from the new CBA. Generally not a fan of BTVs valuations, and your comment that the site is a general reference for trade values followed by They are off on a lot of things is a solid reason why I believe the site shouldnt be used as a factual source. The Braves pay their 1.66 mil per season regardless for that. Sure, its risky, but theyve gotten some historic numbers in a rookie season already from Strider. Noah Syndergaards arb years: $3M (2018), $6M (2019), $9.7M x 2 (2020 & 2021). Lets say you are going to a MLB game at your local stadium and for-the-sake-of-argument lets say there are only 4 seat choices: bleachers $15, nose-bleeds (2nd & 3rd deck) $40, between 1st and 3rd base behind the dugouts for $100, and a seat in a suite for $150. All six of those players are now under club control through at least the 2027 season, giving the Braves a level of continuity and cost certainty that is unparalleled throughout the league. $1M (2024) They help us to know which pages are the most and least popular and see how visitors move around the site. If the Braves pick up that net $17MM option for the 29 campaign, Strider will earn a total of $92MM over seven years. Au contraire it is you who needs to check their info. You are probably not accounting for the adjustments with the new CBA. You are comparing Harveys call up as a full season is disingenuous. He also became the first MLB pitcher to record 200 strikeouts and allow fewer than 100 hits. $22M (2027) Personally, I think the key is to get control of extra free agent years in exchange, but even there they didnt do that well by only getting one or two of them. By comparison the Mariners sign Castillo at roughly $22M/year with a $5M option if he needs TJ surgery in the last 3 years with 80% of the contract covering FA years and coming with a similar option year. Spencer Strider was born in Columbus, OH. If they dont re-sign Swanson, theyre making a serious mistake. I finally cut the cord and were saving thousands every year. Later in the season, he missed the season due to a torn UCL, which necessitated Tommy John surgery. Your login session has expired. He wouldve made around $1M per pre-arbitration year in 23 and 24, anyway. Hes been a great pitcher so far, but he still really only has two pitches. Its also worth noting that Fried might take the offer Strider just got as a giant slap in the face since hes been leading the rotation for years and won a WS for Atlanta, while Strider hasnt even pitched enough innings to qualify for the ERA title. GM of the year imo. To quote Barney from the Simpsons, Not again!. But blowing a 7 1/2 game lead on August 7 and losing 6-7 to the primary opposition is absolutely a choke job. Believe hes expressed the desire to stay on 2B (probably because of his arm strength being gone.) This line in the Braves press release is why you dont wait: Strider became the first player in major league history to strike out over 200 with fewer than 100 hits allowed.. He made $8 mil last year and $17 mil this year. He was not a Super 2, but posted an insane 2.85 FIP for his career with a Cy Young, 2 All-Star season, and 4 of 5 seasons with an ERA under 3.00. Because Strider spent the whole season in the majors anyway it has no effect on him. 2 things: I am a Yankees fan and they could learn a thing or two from Explain to me the worth in that? Imo, hes got the Braves over a barrel because they have absolutely no in house alternatives to replace him. Besides, theyre already overpaying him in this extension in the first place. They were wrong, clearly. If not for an extension, Strider would have made the league minimum in 2023 and 2024, been Arb 1 eligible in 2025, Arb 2 eligible in 2026, Arb 3 eligible in 2027 and a free agent after 2027. So $250M from a team in Texas is worth $175M, while the offer from the Yankees or Mets for $250M is worth only $150M due to the tax difference. Period. But I wonder if a team can reach a point that they have too many of these deals and can could reduce their roster flexibility down the road. The Braves are a Smart Proactive Organization. All I see is people talking about record setting arb numbers without providing examples with any math. Mets698622(LOL on the 22), Harvey was in no way better than Strider at this stage of his career. You just need to have an Apple account and either a computer or smartphone to access the verification code. Know it all..not no-it-all. Imo, you made a reasonable case for your trade evaluation w/out the amateur psychological evaluation. My stupid destined to be wrong estimate is7 years @160 mill.
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